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Peformance by Capitalization

Below is a list as of Friday’s close of performance by capitalization, sorted by 6 month returns. The fact that the list is in inverse order by capitalization would typically be indicative of a recovery with the smallest stocks leading the charge. Nano cap stocks are defined as having a market cap less then $50 million.

Name Dividend Yield Performance (Quarter) Performance (Half Year) Performance (Year) Stocks
Nano 1.25% 19.76% 47.97% -14.96% 797
Micro 1.24% 19.94% 35.54% -16.89% 1495
Small 1.61% 13.22% 28.40% -16.87% 1653
Mid 1.91% 12.36% 27.00% -18.72% 792
Large 2.80% 11.68% 23.70% -17.56% 445
Mega 2.00% 8.32% 23.24% -18.83% 9

Top Insider Transactions

I wil start updating this list approximately once per week. It is a list of top recent insider sales from the last week and will only include transactions over $1 million. Insider transactions can occur for a variety of reasons and sales are not necessarily always indicative of insider sentiment, however it can serve as one element of more comprehensive research. The list speaks for the itself – recent sales of around $1.167b versus buys of $14.5m.

Data source: FINVIZ

$1m+ SALES (aggregate:$1,166,520,390)

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size:78%;">WFMI size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">MACKEY JOHN P size:78%;">COB & Chief Executive Officer size:78%;">8/6/2009 size:78%;">27.85 size:78%;">50000 size:78%;">1392555
size:78%;">RMBS size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">DONNELLY KEVIN size:78%;">Senior VP, Engineering size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">16.94 size:78%;">80000 size:78%;">1354864
size:78%;">MTB size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Beardi James J size:78%;">Executive Vice President size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">58.02 size:78%;">22620 size:78%;">1312381
size:78%;">IBM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Daniels Michael E size:78%;">Senior Vice President size:78%;">8/5/2009 size:78%;">118 size:78%;">10871 size:78%;">1282691
size:78%;">IBM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Daniels Michael E size:78%;">Senior Vice President size:78%;">8/5/2009 size:78%;">118.3 size:78%;">10825 size:78%;">1280476
size:78%;">QCOM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">JACOBS IRWIN M size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">46.55 size:78%;">27200 size:78%;">1266068
size:78%;">TTEK size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">KING DAVID W size:78%;">CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">29.76 size:78%;">42500 size:78%;">1264647
size:78%;">ULTI size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">DAUERMAN MITCHELL K size:78%;">Exec. VP, CFO and Treasurer size:78%;">7/30/2009 size:78%;">24.81 size:78%;">50000 size:78%;">1240675
size:78%;">TTEC size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Hopkins Gregory G size:78%;">EVP Global Accounts size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">15.59 size:78%;">79307 size:78%;">1236396
size:78%;">HIW size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">FRITSCH EDWARD J size:78%;">President & CEO size:78%;">8/5/2009 size:78%;">28 size:78%;">44020 size:78%;">1232560
size:78%;">SMG size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">HAGEDORN JAMES size:78%;">Chairman and CEO size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">40.05 size:78%;">30720 size:78%;">1230339
size:78%;">ODSY size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">STEFFY DAVID L size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/6/2009 size:78%;">12.3 size:78%;">100000 size:78%;">1230000
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size:78%;">TLEO size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">MURRAY MARY K size:78%;">Executive VP & CFO size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">18.3 size:78%;">66707 size:78%;">1220858
size:78%;">WMS size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">NICASTRO NEIL D size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/5/2009 size:78%;">40.67 size:78%;">30000 size:78%;">1220100
size:78%;">CNW size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Stotlar Douglas size:78%;">Director, President & CEO size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">46.04 size:78%;">26500 size:78%;">1219996
size:78%;">PX size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">SMITH WAYNE T size:78%;">Director size:78%;">7/31/2009 size:78%;">78.35 size:78%;">15000 size:78%;">1175192
size:78%;">MCF size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">REIMER CHARLES M size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">46.83 size:78%;">25000 size:78%;">1170750
size:78%;">CCL size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">DICKINSON ROBERT H size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">28.75 size:78%;">40000 size:78%;">1150100
size:78%;">CUK size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">DICKINSON ROBERT H size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">28.75 size:78%;">40000 size:78%;">1150100
size:78%;">CYH size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">PORTACCI MICHAEL T size:78%;">Division President size:78%;">8/6/2009 size:78%;">31.05 size:78%;">36777 size:78%;">1142073
size:78%;">RL size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Nemerov Jackwyn size:78%;">Executive Vice President size:78%;">8/6/2009 size:78%;">67.66 size:78%;">16859 size:78%;">1140680
size:78%;">AZZ size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">DINGUS DAVID H size:78%;">Chief Executive Officer size:78%;">8/5/2009 size:78%;">37.58 size:78%;">30000 size:78%;">1127520
size:78%;">PMCS size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">BAILEY ROBERT L size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">9.21 size:78%;">122200 size:78%;">1124937
size:78%;">MHS size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">PRINCIVALLE KARIN size:78%;">SVP, Human Resources size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">52.15 size:78%;">21200 size:78%;">1105675
size:78%;">DTV size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">CAREY CHASE size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">26.1 size:78%;">42158 size:78%;">1100176
size:78%;">BLL size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">TAYLOR STUART A II size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">49.33 size:78%;">22250 size:78%;">1097590
size:78%;">UNM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">WATJEN THOMAS R size:78%;">President and CEO size:78%;">8/5/2009 size:78%;">20 size:78%;">54594 size:78%;">1091880
size:78%;">CAM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">WILKINSON BRUCE W size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/7/2009 size:78%;">34.07 size:78%;">32000 size:78%;">1090240
size:78%;">DGX size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">BUEHLER WILLIAM F size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">54.13 size:78%;">20000 size:78%;">1082694
size:78%;">TRMB size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">JOHANSSON ULF J size:78%;">Director size:78%;">7/31/2009 size:78%;">23.8 size:78%;">45000 size:78%;">1071000
size:78%;">MA size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Macnee Walter size:78%;">President, Intl. Markets size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">198.9 size:78%;">5356 size:78%;">1065308
size:78%;">MDAS size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">WESSON BRUCE F size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">19 size:78%;">55850 size:78%;">1061150
size:78%;">BCR size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">RING TIMOTHY M size:78%;">Chairman and CEO size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">74 size:78%;">14147 size:78%;">1046823
size:78%;">CERN size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">NEAVES WILLIAM B size:78%;">Director size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">65.42 size:78%;">16000 size:78%;">1046720
size:78%;">TTEK size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">LEMMON RICHARD A size:78%;">SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">29.86 size:78%;">35000 size:78%;">1045027
size:78%;">KNX size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Comen Thomas Casey size:78%;">Exec. Vice Pres. Sales size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">18.37 size:78%;">56250 size:78%;">1033335
size:78%;">SKT size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">TANGER STEVEN B size:78%;">President, CEO size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">36.11 size:78%;">28532 size:78%;">1030185
size:78%;">CL size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">PATRICK STEPHEN C size:78%;">Chief Financial Officer size:78%;">8/6/2009 size:78%;">71.13 size:78%;">14439 size:78%;">1026997
size:78%;">TUP size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">SKROEDER CHRISTIAN E size:78%;">Group President size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">34.01 size:78%;">30000 size:78%;">1020239
size:78%;">ACM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Dionisio John M size:78%;">President & CEO size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">31.82 size:78%;">32000 size:78%;">1018370
size:78%;">RMBS size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">DONNELLY KEVIN size:78%;">Senior VP, Engineering size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">16.95 size:78%;">60000 size:78%;">1017174
size:78%;">BBY size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">SCHULZE RICHARD M size:78%;">Chairman size:78%;">8/3/2009 size:78%;">38 size:78%;">26500 size:78%;">1007000
size:78%;">LOGI size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">Henry David J size:78%;">Sr. VP, Cust. Exp., & CMO size:78%;">7/30/2009 size:78%;">16.71 size:78%;">60000 size:78%;">1002600
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size:78%;">JPM size:78%;">Click here size:78%;">MANDELBAUM JAY size:78%;">Executive Vice President size:78%;">8/4/2009 size:78%;">40 size:78%;">25000 size:78%;">1000000

$1M+ BUYS ($14,462,313)

Ticker Trend Owner Relationship Date Cost #Shares Value ($)
C Click here MCQUADE EUGENE M CEO, Citibank, N.A. 8/5/2009 3.41 1000000 3410000
C Click here MEDINA-MORA MANUEL CEO Latin America & Mexico 8/4/2009 3.21 1000000 3210000
ARIA Click here BERGER HARVEY J M D Chairman & CEO 8/4/2009 1.75 1714286 3000001
IBKR Click here TCV VII LP May be part of a 13(d) group 8/5/2009 19.1 108873 2079474
AKAM Click here LEIGHTON F THOMSON Chief Scientist 7/31/2009 16.9 100000 1684908
DFT Click here Amin Mark Director 8/6/2009 12 90000 1077930

I made the Top 15 ‘Fastest Climbers’ on Seeking Alpha!

If only for a moment….

  • 11. Cliff Wachtel has 45 new followers

  • 12. VFC’s Stock House has 42 new followers

  • 13. J Clinton Hill has 40 new followers

  • 14. Scott’s Investments has 37 new followers
    Following

  • 15. Prieur du Plessis has 36 new followers
    Following

How To Watch Trading Seminars ‘Til You Puke For $100…

When INO asked me to review their INO TV service, I told them I really don’t have time. But they were persistent so I did it.

As I started to explore the site… I got excited! For those of you who are new to the scene, in early 90’s there was this symposium called “TAG”. (Technical Analysis Group) that was I believe an annual or biannual event. All the biggest and best minds in the industry were there, and it offered traders and investors one of the only places to immerse themselves in trading ideas. (Remember this was the pre expo, pre Internet media era..) They recorded these presentations, first as audio cassettes (remember those?) then video later on… Well, INO has the rights to ALL THOSE SEMINARS!

**I also secured a link for you to watch 4 seminars for free!**

I have just scratched the surface as I believe they have some 500 titles. Some of the names I am excited to listen to are…

* Mark Cook
* Linda Raschke (Her “Short Skirt” presentation was one of the first seminars I ever attended! Well worth the price of admission alone…)
* Richard Arms (The inventor of the TRIN)
* Larry Conners
* Toby Crabel (Who’s book Day Trading With Short Term Patterns and Opening Range Breakout sells for $1500 on ebay.)
* Mark Douglas
* Dr. Richard McCall
* George Lane (The inventor of Stochastics)
* Victor Niederhoffer
* Martin Pring
* Jack D. Schwager (Author of the Market Wizards series.)
* Victor Niederhoffer
* Peter Steidlmayer

And a ton more…. The best thing about most of these presentations is that they are old…(Really!) These ideas are universal and still as powerful as the day they were given…Yet I bet you money right now that many of you don’t know some of the names I put up on that list… That means that most of the other traders who have come to the markets recently are also in the dark! There is gold in them thar’ videos, and not much competition for what once were dominate investment strategies. The service is $100 a year for unlimited on-demand streaming access to their entire library.

Get it

Watch it

You will be amazed at what you see up there. It will really help your trading. And just by clicking and entering your email you will help keep this site FREE!!

-Scott

P.S. Raschke’s Slump Busting Techniques” presentation is again more then worth the price alone. Click here to watch it!

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Market Outlook
How this site is organized
Read more on Talon International, Technical Analysis at Wikinvest

I Need Your Feedback!!!!

In an effort to make the site more user friendly and the strategies more easily presentable, I have added a new link to the right hand side. It is the August 1st update of the ‘basic portfolio’ I featured in July. Basically, here is what I’m trying to accomplish: combine the momentum strategies (3-6-12 month returns) and 200 day moving averages into one spreadsheet. Thus, you can look at the spreadsheet and determine the momentum and moving average of each ETF (along with some other stats). The new link is here and is also listed under the ETF & Timing Portfolios section on the right hand side.

Let me know how it looks and if you have any suggestion – I’d like to present the material this way for multiple portfolios and for some of the strictly momentum based strategies (US sector, global sectors, countries).

Feedback welcome!!!

Make the LOGICAL Choice…MarketClub Click Here

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Don’t Ever Mix Hallucinogens and CNBC

If you ever wondered how a CNBC financial commentator acted while on drugs, watch this clip. What in the world!?

http://www.mediabistro.com/tvnewser/cnbc/jeff_macke_either_ive_gotten_off_the_bus_in_crazytown_116981.asp

clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,0,0" height="380" width="400">

What Would Keynes Do?

A good article from Forbes titled What Would Keynes Do? addresses our current financial crisis. To summarize in a sentence, the government must spend massive amounts of money (and buying bad assets doesn’t count) quickly to help increase velocity which will help fight deflation and prevent another Depression. An excerpt:

When the rate of deflation exceeds the nominal interest rate, market rates cannot fall enough to compensate because no one is going to lend money at a negative nominal rate; they will just hold on to it. When this happens, we have what economists call a liquidity trap, and the Fed cannot inject liquidity into the economy to stop the deflation.

Since money is essentially a zero-interest security, when interest rates on marketable securities approach zero, the Fed is unable create liquidity by buying Treasuries with new money. It ends up being an exchange of similar assets with no economic effect. What’s the difference between a dollar bill and a Treasury bill with a barely positive interest rate (as is the case today)?

Another problem that policymakers back then didn’t grasp is that the money supply’s effectiveness depends on how quickly people spend it; something economists call velocity. If velocity falls because people are hoarding cash, it may require a great deal more money to keep the economy operating.

Think of it this way: Velocity is the ratio of the money supply to the gross domestic product. If GDP is $10 trillion and money turns over 10 times per year, then $1 trillion in money supply will be sufficient. But if velocity falls to 9, a $1 trillion money supply will only support a $9 trillion GDP. If the Fed doesn’t want GDP to shrink by 10%, it will have to increase the money supply by 10%.

This is essentially the problem we have today. Unlike in the 1930s, the Fed is not allowing the money supply to diminish. Also, we have programs like federal deposit insurance to prevent bank deposits from shrinking. But velocity is collapsing. Banks, businesses and households are all hoarding cash, not spending except for essentials. This is bringing on the deflation that is crippling the economy.

The nation is fortunate to have Ben Bernanke as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. As an academic economist, he studied the Great Depression in great depth. He also has a keen grasp of the problem of deflation. On Nov. 21, 2002, he gave a speech that precisely outlines what the Fed can and must do when confronted by a deflationary situation.

The problem today is that velocity is falling faster than the Fed can pump up the money supply by buying financial assets, and very low market interest rates mean there has been little net increase in liquidity as a result of the actions the Fed has taken thus far.

What Keynes figured out is that when conditions such as these exist, the federal government must step in to raise spending in the economy and thereby increase velocity. This means running a budget deficit, but that is only part of the solution. As noted earlier, spending just to buy financial assets does very little good.

We also know from the experience with tax rebates in 1974, 2001 and 2008 that this doesn’t do any good, either. People mostly save the money or pay down debts. Thus, rebates just become another form of exchanging assets that add little to spending (and hence velocity).

Keynes argued that the only thing that will really work is if the federal government uses its resources to purchase goods and services. It must buy “stuff”–concrete, computers, paper, glass, steel–anything as long as it is tangible. In other words, the government must spend the way households do, by buying things.

It must also employ labor, because much of what people spend money on today is in the form of services. This doesn’t necessarily mean putting workers on the federal payroll, it just means that, to the extent that the government purchases services, this will also help raise spending in the economy.

We will know that the government is spending enough to matter when interest rates start to rise. Although we think of saving as coming in financial form, in reality, saving represents things–labor and raw materials that are used to produce products and services people want.

Once the federal government increases its purchases of goods and services, it preempts resources that private businesses would otherwise use in production. As they compete with each other for those resources, their prices will rise and interest rates will rise.

At this point, Federal Reserve policy will become effective again. As prices and interest rates rise, the liquidity trap disappears and money begins circulating more rapidly; i.e., velocity increases. This is what ends an economic crisis. Unfortunately, it was not until World War II that the federal government spent enough on real resources–because they were needed for the war effort–to make Keynes’ theory work in practice.

More on this topic (What's this?)
Anticipating The Rate Hike
Rising Interst Rates Historically A Positive For Equity Returns
Janet Yellen Launches New Ladies Fragrance
Read more on Deflation, Interest Rates, Federal Reserve at Wikinvest