Monday Investment Articles

Below are some investment-related articles for this week:

The Endgame is Forced Liquidation – John Hussman

Satyajit Das: The End of Growth, Part 1 and Part 2

The Alternative Road to Investing (advertisement)

Are Earnings Expectations Realistic? (pdf) & Austerity is a Consequence, not a Punishment (pdf) John Mauldin

Gold – David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors

The Lure of Hedge Funds – Research Affiliates

An Interview with Jeremy Grantham, Part 1 and Part 2 – The Guardian

Valuation Based Equity Market Forecasts – GestaltU

 

 

More on this topic (What's this?)
How to Beat the Market
Finally, knowing your President!
Early Industry Leaders
Read more on CLP HLDGS, Cheung Kong (HLDGS) at Wikinvest
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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Sunday Readings

Below are investment articles I am reading this weekend.

I will be updating the Graham Value Stock portfolio Monday evening using the power Portfolio123 platform.

Momentum-Based AllocationDo Valuations Matter for Practical Market Timing? - Empiritrage

15,000 Point Round Trip & How to Help Your Portfolio in the Next Market Crash - Barry Ritholtz

A Man in the Mirror – Bill Gross

Assume a Perfect World (pdf) – John Mauldin

Increasingly Immediate Impulses to By the Dip (or, How to Blow a Bubble) - John Hussman

More on this topic (What's this?)
Assume a Perfect World
Oh Really?
Read more on Value Investing, Perfect World at Wikinvest
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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Monday Readings

Below are some articles I am reading this week:

How to Trade POMO Manipulation – Chris Vermeulen

Rational Temperance – Bill Gross

Dean Williams: Maybe you’re “Trying Too Hard” – Turnkey Analyst

Pinocchio Traders – Barry Ritholtz

ETF Insider – The Idea Farm

How to Protect Your Portfolio – Geoff Considine

Buy High, Sell Higher? & Quant Backtester – Mebane Faber

The Healthcare Blues (pdf) – John Mauldin

Is the Stock Market Cheap? Doug Short

Out on a Limb – John Hussman

Below is a free webinar from MarketFly:

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Weekend Reads

Below are some excellent articles for the weekend ahead. Also, I will be writing an update on new features with the All-Weather ETF portfolio next week. Stay tuned!

Gold and Silver Nearing Long-Term Support – Chris Vermeulen

James Montier has a new piece available at GMO (free registration required), Hyperinflation, Hysteria, and False Memories

200 Day Versus 10 Month Moving Averages – Barry Ritholtz

The Holy Grail for Monitoring Your Portfolio – The Capital Speculator

Whatever It Takes & Scrambling for Returns (pdf) John Mauldin

Global Value – Mebane Faber & Prabhat Dalmia

Momentum, Momentum, Momentum – Empiritrage

Balanced Portfolios: Keeping It Real – Advisor Perspectives

The Siren’s Song of the Unfinished Half-Cycle – John Hussman

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Monday Readings

Everything You Know About Investing is Wrong… Barry Ritholtz

Capital Formation and the Fiscal Cliff (pdf) – John Mauldin

Dollar and Stock Analysis – The Gold and Oil Guy

Forecasting Stock Returns – The Idea Farm

Overlooking Overvaluation – John Hussman

Debt Limit-Fiscal Cliff-Stock Market – Cumberland Advisors

Top Culprit in the Financial Crisis: Human Nature – Barrons

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Tuesday Investment Articles

Lots of good articles below, enjoy and Happy Thanksgiving!

Jeremy Grantham of GMO has released his quarterly newsletter. It is available on GMOs website with free registration. Always a must read. (For his outspoken thoughts on climate change here is a good primer)

Predicted 10 Year Returns from the Shiller P/E – Turnkey Analyst

The Apple Crush – JW Jones

Next Broad Market Drop Looming? David Banister

The History of Gold Charts – Peter L Brandt

America’s Fisdal Cliffs and Debt Mountains – Satyajit Das

Fiscal Cliff or Slippery Slope? David Kotok

Where Will the Jobs Come From? (pdf) John Mauldin

Little Dutch Boy – John Hussman

 Equity Portfolio Optimization with Factor Tilts – Advisor Perspectives

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Mid-Week Readings

Lopsided Risks – John Hussman

 Meaning of 200-Day Average’s Violation – Mark Hulbert

Central Bank Insurance and Four More Years (pdf) – John Mauldin

When Quants Tell Stories – Felix Salmon

The Global Market Portfolio – Mebane Faber

The Green Book – The Idea Farm

Sheila Bair for Treasury Secretary – Forbes

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Post-Election Readings

Below are a few articles I am catching up on this week. Either I am getting busier or there is more and more great reading material available for free on the web:

Post-Election Trading Made Simple –  Chris Vermeulen

Gary Antonacci has updated his momentum paper Risk Premia Harvesting Through Dual Momentum

Tactical Asset Allocation Series: Part 1 and Part 2 – Turnkey Analyst

Turn That Frown Upside Down – World Beta

Re-elected President Obama and Fiscal Cliff – Cumberland Advisors

Want to Fix Congress? Let’s institute pay for performance – Sheila Bair, CNN Money

Don’t Jump into Junk – Institutional Imperative

 Is Trend Following Dead? Attain Capital

Fitting Factors Into the Formula – Morningstar

The Role of Risk in Asset Allocation (pdf) – John Mauldin

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Portfolio Updates & Weekend Readings

For November there was no change in the US Sector Momentum portfolio – it continues to hold Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV).

The Basic ETF Portfolio sold PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking (DBC) and purchased Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (VEU). You will remember last month that DBC and VEU were virtually tied based on momentum.

I will be sitting quietly in a deer stand this weekend so there will be no further commentary on the two portfolios above.

Below are some articles for the weekend:

Distinction Without a Difference – John Hussman

The Quest for Certainty (pdf) – John Mauldin

 Regression to Trend – Doug Short

Is the Stock Market Cheap? Doug Short

Improving on Risk Parity – The Idea Farm

Time to Vote! Bill Gross

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com

Weekend Research & Readings

Posting has been lighter than normal of late.  I have been exploring some new ideas which take time that could otherwise be used for articles. Needless to say I am still reading quite a bit, below is my recent reading list:

Nasdaq Proposes ETF Trading System – ETF Trends

iShares Launches 4 New Core Funds – Index Universe

Memo to Central Banks: You’re Debasing More Than Our Currency (pdf)

Sector CAPE – Mebane Faber / World Beta

The Perils of the Fiscal Cliff (pdf) John Mauldin

See also the following research papers: Global CAPE Model Optimization & Momentum Strategies in Futures Markets and Trend-Following Funds (hat tip Faber) & Counter-Trend Trading (via The Idea Farm)

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Disclaimer: Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author is not a financial adviser. Stock Loon LLC, Scott's Investments and its author does not offer recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Please consult your own investment adviser and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Please read the full disclaimer at the bottom of www.scottsinvestments.com